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| Тема |
 Още веднъж един от "ония понеделници"... |
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| Автор | ЧеНЕ (Нерегистриран) | |
| Публикувано | 11.09.00 18:16 |
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Decision-thinking is not unlike poker - it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think and what you think they think you think. Interestingly poker, that most subjective of games, has often been of considerable interest to people who are, by any standard, good thinkers.
The great mathematician John von Neumann was, among his many other accomplishments, one of the originators of games theory. In particular, he showed that all games fall into one of two classes :
there are what he called "games of perfect information" games like chess which are meant to involve no element of concealment, bluff or luck - games where the players can, in principle, discover the best move by application of pure logic to available data.
Then there are "games of imperfect information", like poker, in which it is impossible to know in advance, that one course of action is better than another.
One of the most dangerous illusions about business (or indeed, any activity involving human being and human institutions) is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information. Quite the reverse.
Business, politics, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. Many a business decisions involves odds that would make a professional poker player shudder, for the number and extent of the unknown and unknowable factors are themselves often incalculable. But, as I have wished to point out, few organizations find it comfortable or congenial to admit that they are gambling, and many still prefer to delude themselves that they are playing a sober, responsible game of chess and are not engaged, as often the case, in a fling at the poker table.
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Още веднъж един от "ония понеделници"...
| ЧеНЕ
| 11.09.00 18:16 |
Отг: Още веднъж един от "ония понеделници"...
| ЧеНЕ
| 11.09.00 18:18 |
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Отг: Още веднъж един от "ония понеделници"...
| VI
| 11.09.00 18:28 |
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John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| ЧеНe
| 12.09.00 16:34 |
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Отг: John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| ВИ
| 12.09.00 23:24 |
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Отг: John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| ВИ
| 12.09.00 23:28 |
Отг: John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| Soley[Soley@dir.bg]
| 13.09.00 04:02 |
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Отг: John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| ВИ
| 13.09.00 11:43 |
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Отг: John Harsanyi, pioneer of game theory
| ВИ
| 12.09.00 23:26 |
Карти, кръчма, къркане..комуникации
| ЧеНe
| 12.09.00 21:04 |
Отг: Карти, кръчма, къркане..комуникации
| ВИ
| 12.09.00 23:08 |
Отг: Карти, кръчма, къркане..комуникации
| ЧеНe
| 13.09.00 10:24 |
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Отг: Карти, кръчма, къркане..комуникации
| ВИ
| 13.09.00 11:49 |
Симпатяга :о)
| ЧеНe
| 13.09.00 12:03 |
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Sin,
| ЧеНe
| 12.09.00 16:36 |
Къде е тази чаровница, Елица Милчева ?!
| ЧеНe
| 13.09.00 13:52 |
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The Winner takes it All
| ЧеНe
| 15.09.00 15:22 |
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