9,000 to 11,000 combat deaths during the second war's most intense phase, from its beginning in late summer 1999 to early 2002.

It is instructive to compare those two estimates. If the Jane's Group analysts are right, the federal forces lost roughly 4,000 dead annually during the period from summer 1999 to early 2002. Over the twelve months of 2003, by contrast, they lost roughly 3,000 dead. (Let it be noted that Trifonov did not give these figures himself; they are derived by applying simple arithmetic to the numbers that he did give.) Thus it would appear that federal combat deaths are indeed fewer now than they were three or four years ago, but not nearly few enough to justify the Putin administration's claim that the war is effectively over.


180,000, though figures compiled by both Russian and Chechen non-governmental organizations suggest that this number may be closer to 250,000.
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