До кога Еврото ще бие $?
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429 прегледа
Re: До кога Еврото ще бие $?
А ми това не е футболен мач ,че някой да бие !
Има движение нагоре и надолу ,сега Еврото е силно преди 2 години $ беше !
А кога и какво ще стане с курса на $ мисля че знаят много малко хора .
Повечето имат роднини в Израел ,носят едни малки шапчици ,знаят всичко и им викат Jew !
Ako живееш в САЩ не би трябвало да ти пука колко е Еврото !
Има движение нагоре и надолу ,сега Еврото е силно преди 2 години $ беше !
А кога и какво ще стане с курса на $ мисля че знаят много малко хора .
Повечето имат роднини в Израел ,носят едни малки шапчици ,знаят всичко и им викат Jew !
Ako живееш в САЩ не би трябвало да ти пука колко е Еврото !
Kyde se namriash, v Bylgaria?Re: До кога Еврото ще бие $?
До кога ще си купуваме скъпо Евро?
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Докато САЩ имат изгода от това.
Най-общо казано САЩ държат политика на слаб долар заради отрицателното си търговско салдо.
Това им помага засега.
Ако има силен долар,ще се отвори още по-голяма дупка.
На ринга излезли Доброто и Злото.
Хората заложили за Злото.
То победило.
Хората спечелили.
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Докато САЩ имат изгода от това.
Най-общо казано САЩ държат политика на слаб долар заради отрицателното си търговско салдо.
Това им помага засега.
Ако има силен долар,ще се отвори още по-голяма дупка.
На ринга излезли Доброто и Злото.
Хората заложили за Злото.
То победило.
Хората спечелили.
Re: До кога Еврото ще бие $?
Последните няколко дена еврото пада, дали е дълготраен тренд е трудно да се каже. Ако някой от тука пишещите знаеше точно какво ще стане щеше да прави милиони търгувайки, а не да пише в клуба. Тази статия може да ти е интересна/полезна - от утрешния брой на WSJ ;)
Euro-Zone's Finance Officials Change Stance on Strong Euro
By G. THOMAS SIMS
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
BRUSSELS -- After allowing the euro to soar against the dollar for the past two years, Europe's top finance officials are changing their stance on the world's No. 2 currency -- emphasizing a desire for a "stable" euro and effectively abandoning its long-held policy for a "strong" euro.
The new policy, hammered out at a meeting of finance ministers from the 12-nation euro-zone and the president of the European Central Bank, states the euro "must keep its value over the medium and long run, in line with economic fundamentals. In the present circumstances, we particularly stress stability and we are concerned about excessive exchange rate moves."
For the past few years, European officials have stressed their desire for a "strong and stable" euro, a mantra developed to support the five-year-old currency as it fell during its early years. The euro is now more than 50% higher than its low against the dollar, and some fear it threatens the region's fledgling economic recovery.
In recent days, officials have flagged that a clarification may be in the offing. The joint statement from finance ministers and the ECB says "our long-term strategy does not change" but financial markets will interpret the notable absence of the word "strong" as a change. Officials refused to use the word after the meeting in explaining their stance when prompted by journalists.
The statement was designed to state coherently and clearly the euro-zone's position to financial markets and U.S. policy makers. The officials came up with the position on the exchange rate and its rapid rise for next month's meeting with counterparts from the Group of Seven industrialized nations. U.S. officials have said they stick to a policy of a strong dollar.
In the brief statement, the finance ministers and ECB warned that they would take further steps if financial markets allow the euro to appreciate too much, too quickly. "We will continue to monitor the situation closely, and conduct policies supporting economic recovery in a stable macro-economic environment," the statement said.
Those policies could include intervention in the currency markets by selling euros or buying dollars. It could also include cutting official interest rates that would making holding the euro less attractive.
European officials hope that a recovery in the global economy will partly offset a stronger euro that makes euro exports relatively more expensive. But the strength of the euro may already be taking a toll on the economy. The 12 nations that use the euro posted a trade surplus with the rest of the world in November of €5 billion, compared with €9.1 billion a year earlier and much below economists' expectations for €7.8 billion, figures published on Monday showed.
Exports to the U.S. -- the second-largest buyer of euro-zone goods after the U.K. -- fell 10% from January through October of last year, even as the world's largest economy picked up pace and an appetite for European goods would normally grow. In November, all euro-zone exports adjusted for seasonal fluctuations fell by 0.8% compared a month earlier, while imports rose by 2.8%.
"The currency problem could become very severe," said Michael Rogowski, president of Federation of German Industry, on CNBC. "It sets in with lower margins, continues with lower orders, and ends with lower growth rates."
Despite the statement, finance ministers and the ECB wouldn't favor a full-blown policy of a weak euro as an engine to stoke growth. They would likely react with rhetoric and intervention -- as they did a few years when the euro was at historic lows.
But at the moment they are keen to stress stability. "An ever appreciating euro is not a stable one," said one person familiar with the situation.
Some officials fear that an overly strong euro could hurt the fledgling recovery of the euro-zone economy. Other officials are more concerned by the swift ascent of the euro rather than the actual level.
"The current euro/dollar exchange rate will dampen exports a little but should hardly obstruct the economic recovery," Juergen Stark, vice president of the Deutsche Bundesbank, an arm of the ECB, said in a speech Monday.
Finance ministers are pleased that the euro has slipped against the dollar in recent days. That reversal was prompted by ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet, who warned last week that the ECB was "concerned" by "excess volatility and brutal moves" of the euro, adding that they were "not welcome and not appropriate."
The rhetoric caused the euro to fall sharply from its all-time high of nearly $1.29 last Monday. Late Monday afternoon in Europe, the euro changed hands at $1.2352.
The reaction to this so-called verbal intervention decreases the chances that the ECB will intervene directly in the markets by selling euros or buying dollars with its vast supply of currency reserves.
N
Euro-Zone's Finance Officials Change Stance on Strong Euro
By G. THOMAS SIMS
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
BRUSSELS -- After allowing the euro to soar against the dollar for the past two years, Europe's top finance officials are changing their stance on the world's No. 2 currency -- emphasizing a desire for a "stable" euro and effectively abandoning its long-held policy for a "strong" euro.
The new policy, hammered out at a meeting of finance ministers from the 12-nation euro-zone and the president of the European Central Bank, states the euro "must keep its value over the medium and long run, in line with economic fundamentals. In the present circumstances, we particularly stress stability and we are concerned about excessive exchange rate moves."
For the past few years, European officials have stressed their desire for a "strong and stable" euro, a mantra developed to support the five-year-old currency as it fell during its early years. The euro is now more than 50% higher than its low against the dollar, and some fear it threatens the region's fledgling economic recovery.
In recent days, officials have flagged that a clarification may be in the offing. The joint statement from finance ministers and the ECB says "our long-term strategy does not change" but financial markets will interpret the notable absence of the word "strong" as a change. Officials refused to use the word after the meeting in explaining their stance when prompted by journalists.
The statement was designed to state coherently and clearly the euro-zone's position to financial markets and U.S. policy makers. The officials came up with the position on the exchange rate and its rapid rise for next month's meeting with counterparts from the Group of Seven industrialized nations. U.S. officials have said they stick to a policy of a strong dollar.
In the brief statement, the finance ministers and ECB warned that they would take further steps if financial markets allow the euro to appreciate too much, too quickly. "We will continue to monitor the situation closely, and conduct policies supporting economic recovery in a stable macro-economic environment," the statement said.
Those policies could include intervention in the currency markets by selling euros or buying dollars. It could also include cutting official interest rates that would making holding the euro less attractive.
European officials hope that a recovery in the global economy will partly offset a stronger euro that makes euro exports relatively more expensive. But the strength of the euro may already be taking a toll on the economy. The 12 nations that use the euro posted a trade surplus with the rest of the world in November of €5 billion, compared with €9.1 billion a year earlier and much below economists' expectations for €7.8 billion, figures published on Monday showed.
Exports to the U.S. -- the second-largest buyer of euro-zone goods after the U.K. -- fell 10% from January through October of last year, even as the world's largest economy picked up pace and an appetite for European goods would normally grow. In November, all euro-zone exports adjusted for seasonal fluctuations fell by 0.8% compared a month earlier, while imports rose by 2.8%.
"The currency problem could become very severe," said Michael Rogowski, president of Federation of German Industry, on CNBC. "It sets in with lower margins, continues with lower orders, and ends with lower growth rates."
Despite the statement, finance ministers and the ECB wouldn't favor a full-blown policy of a weak euro as an engine to stoke growth. They would likely react with rhetoric and intervention -- as they did a few years when the euro was at historic lows.
But at the moment they are keen to stress stability. "An ever appreciating euro is not a stable one," said one person familiar with the situation.
Some officials fear that an overly strong euro could hurt the fledgling recovery of the euro-zone economy. Other officials are more concerned by the swift ascent of the euro rather than the actual level.
"The current euro/dollar exchange rate will dampen exports a little but should hardly obstruct the economic recovery," Juergen Stark, vice president of the Deutsche Bundesbank, an arm of the ECB, said in a speech Monday.
Finance ministers are pleased that the euro has slipped against the dollar in recent days. That reversal was prompted by ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet, who warned last week that the ECB was "concerned" by "excess volatility and brutal moves" of the euro, adding that they were "not welcome and not appropriate."
The rhetoric caused the euro to fall sharply from its all-time high of nearly $1.29 last Monday. Late Monday afternoon in Europe, the euro changed hands at $1.2352.
The reaction to this so-called verbal intervention decreases the chances that the ECB will intervene directly in the markets by selling euros or buying dollars with its vast supply of currency reserves.
N