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Тема |
climate sensitivity |
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Автор |
cyrus9358O ( ) |
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Публикувано | 15.07.15 11:49 |
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Глобалното затопляне вследствие от добавените в атмосферата допълнителни количества въглероден двуокис е факт.
В научните среди, една от важните поддискусии е относно големината на ефекта на обратната връзка, а именно: С колко ще се повиши средната Т на планетата при удвояване на количеството ЦО2 в атмосферата.
- ще резюмирам:
С между 2 и 4.5 градуса.
Memo to Contrarians: "High" Isn't What You Think it is
It's something of a mystery why the climate contrarian blogosphere lit up in response to Annan's fairly mainstream, uncontroversial comments, other than the fact that he was rather critical of the IPCC. Annan said equilibrium climate sensitivity is unlikely to be higher than 4.5°C - there are few if any mainstream climate scientists who would disagree with this. He also said that sensitivity is unlikely to be much less than 2°C. This rules out the beliefs of many prominent climate scientist contrarians, like Roy Spencer (who believes equilibrium sensitivity is around 1.3°C) and Richard Lindzen (who believes it's less than 1°C).
Сандокан, мале!! С двата ножа!
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