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Postwar Prospects Grim for Serbs
Postwar Prospects Grim for Serbs
By CANDICE HUGHES=
Associated Press Writer=
BELGRADE, Yugoslavia (AP) _ It's summer in Serbia, and people
are wearing shorts and sunglasses and sipping icy drinks in outdoor
cafes.
They're also hunkering down for winter.
An uneasy peace is descending on this battered pariah state,
which will have little outside aid to repair the damage wrought by
months of NATO bombs.
The economy _ already limping from years of Balkan warfare and
economic sanctions _ is in tatters. Even with help, it would take
years to mend the bridges, highways, refineries, factories, and
power plants hammered by NATO.
Dreading power shortages in the coming winter, people are
snapping up wood burning stoves and generators, building
fireplaces, and stockpiling basics like sugar.
Estimates of the damage to Serbia's infrastructure vary wildly,
but some say it is at least $10 billion.
More than half the workforce is unemployed, and industrial
production, already in a slump before the war, is at a near
standstill. Agricultural production is expected to fall by half
this year because of a lack of fuel and fertilizers.
The European Union and international aid agencies are preparing
to help repair the damage to Yugoslavia's neighbors and to Kosovo,
a province in southern Serbia, Yugoslavia's dominant republic.
But officials say the rest of Serbia won't get any aid as long
as President Slobodan Milosevic is in power. Serbian forces, led by
Milosevic, were responsible for a crackdown on ethnic Albanians in
Kosovo, which led to the NATO airstrikes.
Some think the economic hardships ahead could trigger
Milosevic's fall. Others doubt that the Balkan strongman's grip on
power can be broken anytime soon. But all fear the tough times
ahead.
``We're about to see the death of the national economy,''
predicted Zoran Jelicic, head of the private Media Center.
Some will fare worse than others in the uncertain times ahead.
Few will flourish.
---=
The modest Mitrovic house is cracked like an eggshell. Deep
fissures run crazily across brick and stucco, inside and out. The
ceiling's been divorced from the walls. So has the floor.
Two huge NATO bombs aimed at army general staff headquarters
went astray in this old Belgrade neighborhood at 2:30 a.m. on April
30. One hit yards away, fracturing the house.
One neighbor was killed, several nearby houses were reduced to
rubble, and the water line running under the street was broken. The
Mitrovic house shakes like jelly when heavy equipment clears away
surrounding rubble.
Marija Mitrovic was born in the four-room house 60 years ago,
and she's lived here all her life. She spends the days sitting
under the apricot tree in the yard, weeping and wondering.
She's a retired office clerk. Her 64-year-old husband, Jordan,
is a retired truck driver, and they get a pension equal to $20 a
month. Their 25-year-old son, Lazar, an electrician, has been out
of work since he was laid off two years ago.
In short, the Mitrovic family can't afford to rebuild. And with
so many other, bigger, more important things in ruins, they don't
expect the government will help them.
``I'm 64, and I'm kaput!'' said Jordan. ``I can't even afford to
buy a shirt, much less build a house!''
---=
In an airy office in downtown Belgrade, Djorde Cvejic is a shade
more hopeful. But just a shade.
``We didn't lose customers,'' said Cvejic, 47, whose company,
Contal, supplies thermal resins to scores of factories in
Yugoslavia. There is, however, one problem: ``They just don't have
any production.''
Still, Cvejic has weathered more than one Balkan war, and he
figures he'll also weather this one.
Somehow.
His big customers, like the Zastava auto plant, are at a
standstill. The arms industry, another good customer, has been
completely destroyed. But even the most modest sort of rebuilding
could mean business for Contal.
The resins it distributes are used for a huge variety of items,
including electrical outlets, switches and other essentials.
But mere survival wasn't Cvejic's goal when he went into
business for himself a few years ago. He had ideas about branching
out. He imagined his country transformed. He dreamed of bringing
new technologies to Yugoslavia, helping to make it competitive,
opening it up to new markets.
``What now?'' he asks. ``We're isolated completely from the
whole world. Now we are lost.''
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